Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
Why it moved: −16 points at 05:26 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to Highest Since 2024 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 53% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if China's annual inflation rate for the twelve months ending in December 2026 falls between 0.6% and 1.0%. The No outcome applies if that rate is outside this range. Readers often mistake the linked story about Singapore for relevant data, but resolution depends solely on the official Chinese National Bureau of Statistics report released in January 2027.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 64%
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