Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Implied probability 26%−1
24-hour volume$104
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves21 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 07:34 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Sept, 06:56 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 27% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Statistics South Africa reports annual consumer price inflation between 4.4% and 4.7% for the twelve months ending in December 2026. The No outcome applies if that specific figure falls outside that range or if no data is released by the deadline, in which case the last available month's data determines the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%
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