Seattle and Las Vegas Pitch for NBA Expansion
The league considers bids from both cities, which could generate billions in revenue while raising questions about financial returns for existing owners.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 78% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 71% |
| 15 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 80% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 8 November at 14:28 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Seattle — the market puts it at 78%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the NBA officially announces a new expansion team for Seattle before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake informal reports or rumors for an official announcement.
- Las Vegas — the market puts it at 12%, closing 15 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas hosts a playoff game during the 2026-27 season, excluding the Super Bowl. It resolves to No if no such game occurs in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news about concert residencies for relevant events or confuse the deadline with the start of the regular season.
- Before Feb 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 18%, closing 1 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the NBA officially awards an expansion team to Las Vegas between now and February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific announcement does not happen within this timeframe. Readers often mistake general rumors or city pitches for the official award, which is the only event that counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Seattle · Which cities will receive Pro Basketball expansion teams before 2028? 78%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Las Vegas · Teams To Host A Playoff Game 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before Feb 1, 2027 18%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Alert me when the odds move
In this story
- NBA
- Seattle
- Las Vegas
- Randall Williams