Before Feb 1, 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 14:06 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the NBA officially awards an expansion team to Las Vegas between now and February 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific announcement does not happen within this timeframe. Readers often mistake general rumors or city pitches for the official award, which is the only event that counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%