Romania Set to Vote on New Center-Right Cabinet Amid Political Crisis
Prime Minister-designate Siegfried Muresan proposes a new center-right government as Romanian lawmakers prepare for the vote.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 09:38 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 09:18 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 07:33 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Sept, 11:50 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 09:20 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 08:14 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 05:29 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 03:21 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 22:56 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 20:48 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 19:55 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Sept, 19:12 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 20% |
| 21 Sept, 17:37 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 15:49 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 14:55 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 14:29 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 13:53 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 12:56 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 12:02 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 10:58 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 23:24 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 14:41 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Sept, 09:03 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 07:21 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 30% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. ABC News published first, on 30 September at 05:44 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? — the market puts it at 0%, with $25k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Siegfried Mureșan is formally appointed by the President and wins a parliamentary vote of confidence before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if he does not meet these requirements within that timeframe. Readers often mistake an interim appointment or a news report for a final resolution, but only official government confirmation counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Siegfried Muresan
- Romanian lawmakers