Robert Reich Calls to Defund Elon Musk Over Ukraine Influence
The economist argues billionaire wealth should be taxed and that no private individual should determine US foreign policy regarding Ukraine.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 10:16 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 11:30 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 08:32 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 27 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 27 October at 10:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 1%, with $14k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if a different candidate replaces him before the election. Readers often mistake the resolution source for news reports rather than official Republican Party announcements.
- Elon Musk — the market puts it at 75%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk ranks among the three wealthiest people globally on December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this wealth threshold on that specific date. Readers often mistake the release of a documentary or other news events for the resolution criteria, but only his net worth ranking on the deadline matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 1%
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- Kalshi Elon Musk 75%
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In this story
- Elon Musk
- Robert Reich