Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$395k
Total volume$31.9M
Liquidity$830k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if a different candidate replaces him before the election. Readers often mistake the resolution source for news reports rather than official Republican Party announcements.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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