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Robert Pattinson to Receive 40th American Cinematheque Award

The actor is honored for his versatile career after Ryan Gosling withdrew from the February 2027 ceremony.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 5 Nov 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Robert Pattinson
0%50%100%30%29 Oct, 23:19 UTCnowVariety: Robert Pattinson to Receive 40th American Cinematheque Award · 5 Nov, 17:00 UTCDeadline: Robert Pattinson To Receive The 40th Annual American Cinematheque Award · 5 Nov, 17:00 UTCIndieWire: Robert Pattinson to Receive 2026 American Cinematheque Award · 5 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now30%
5 Nov, 18:13 UTC27%
5 Nov, 17:13 UTC29%
5 Nov, 13:23 UTC26%
5 Nov, 12:59 UTC24%
5 Nov, 02:47 UTC25%
4 Nov, 18:04 UTC29%
4 Nov, 17:42 UTC30%
4 Nov, 15:13 UTC29%
4 Nov, 10:36 UTC26%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC29%
3 Nov, 23:17 UTC26%
2 Nov, 22:02 UTC28%
2 Nov, 18:27 UTC26%
2 Nov, 08:01 UTC29%
2 Nov, 05:24 UTC30%
2 Nov, 03:06 UTC28%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC29%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC26%
1 Nov, 04:50 UTC28%
1 Nov, 03:04 UTC26%
31 Oct, 13:31 UTC27%
31 Oct, 08:07 UTC28%
31 Oct, 04:07 UTC26%
31 Oct, 01:32 UTC25%
31 Oct, 01:11 UTC23%
30 Oct, 21:53 UTC24%
30 Oct, 18:37 UTC25%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC24%
30 Oct, 01:48 UTC25%
30 Oct, 01:21 UTC24%
30 Oct, 00:35 UTC25%
29 Oct, 23:19 UTC24%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 5 Nov 2026. Variety published first, on 5 November at 17:00 UTC. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 5 November at 17:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), IndieWire, Deadline.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 30%, with $345 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his new film as relevant to the resolution, but only Oscar nominations count.
  • Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 2%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the nomination list for the final winner.
  • Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 6%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for the decisive factor, but only this particular Oscar matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Robert Pattinson at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. VarietyRobert Pattinson to Receive 40th American Cinematheque Award26%
  2. IndieWireRobert Pattinson to Receive 2026 American Cinematheque Award26%
  3. DeadlineRobert Pattinson To Receive The 40th Annual American Cinematheque Award26%
  4. Current odds30%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Robert Pattinson to Receive 40th American Cinematheque Award Variety ·
  2. Robert Pattinson To Receive The 40th Annual American Cinematheque Award Deadline
  3. Robert Pattinson to Receive 2026 American Cinematheque Award IndieWire

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Robert Pattinson 30% +1 $345 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Robert Pattinson 2% $4k 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Robert Pattinson 6% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Robert Pattinson
  • American Cinematheque
  • Ryan Gosling
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