Review: Wild Horse Nine is a bloody, laugh-filled CIA romp in Chile
Martin McDonagh's latest film features John Malkovich and Sam Rockwell as CIA agents who engage in more than sightseeing during their time in Chile.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 71% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The A.V. Club published first, on 4 November at 17:00 UTC; The New York Times followed 17h 03m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 5 November at 12:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Quartz.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Wild Horse Nine — the market puts it at 71%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Wild Horse Nine receives a nomination for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive this specific nomination. Readers often mistake general nominations or awards from other ceremonies, such as the Golden Horse Awards mentioned in the linked story, for qualifying criteria.
- Wild Horse Nine — the market puts it at 88%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Wild Horse Nine receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release of the film or critical acclaim for the official nomination list.
- Wild Horse Nine — the market puts it at 39%, closing 10 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if the film Wild Horse Nine wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the ceremony date for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the official winner announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Wild Horse Nine at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The A.V. ClubThe Wild Horse Nine team channeled Billy Wilder for their modern screwball comedy71%
- The New York Times‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: A C.I.A. Holiday71%
- QuartzMartin McDonaghs 'Wild Horse Nine' wird am 6. November in breitem Release veröffentlicht.71%
- News FeedWild Horse Nine — John Malkovich excels as a loose-lipped CIA man in darkly droll caper71%
- Current odds71%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Wild Horse Nine — John Malkovich excels as a loose-lipped CIA man in darkly droll caper News Feed ·
- ‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: A C.I.A. Holiday The New York Times ·
- Martin McDonaghs 'Wild Horse Nine' wird am 6. November in breitem Release veröffentlicht. Quartz
- The Wild Horse Nine team channeled Billy Wilder for their modern screwball comedy The A.V. Club
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Wild Horse Nine 71%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Wild Horse Nine 88%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Wild Horse Nine 39%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Martin McDonagh
- John Malkovich
- Sam Rockwell
- Wild Horse Nine
- CIA