Robert Pattinson
Implied probability 3%+1
24-hour volume$466
Total volume$120k
Liquidity$120k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 05:09 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the nomination list for the final winner.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%