Robert Pattinson's Primetime Hits Australian Cinemas as A24 Thriller Premieres in London
The Lance Oppenheim-directed film, inspired by the real-life To Catch a Predator host, opens in Australia and New Zealand on October 29 following its London premiere.
First reported by Variety, 4h 07m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 13:14 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 6% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Robert Pattinson respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 11 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 11 October at 17:53 UTC; Deadline followed 4h 07m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 12 October at 19:29 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety Australia (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, BBC Entertainment.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson is officially cast as James Bond before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Phoebe Bridgers for relevant casting news.
- Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 1%, with $169 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Robert Pattinson is named People magazine's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline; the resolution depends on whether he holds the title during that specific year.
- Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 55%, with $157 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his new film as relevant to the resolution, but only Oscar nominations count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Robert Pattinson at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- VarietyRobert Pattinson Recalls ‘Primetime’ Script Feeling Like a ‘Grenade’ as A24 Thriller Premieres in London: It Was ‘Original and Funny… and a Little Dangerous’7%
- DeadlineRobert Pattinson Approached Chris Hansen Portrayal In ‘Primetime’ As “A Fan”: “I Was Trying To Make Him Cool”7%
- BBC EntertainmentRobert Pattinson on new film Primetime and how hunting predators became hit TV7%
- Variety AustraliaWatch Robert Pattinson Transform Into Chris Hansen in ‘Primetime’ Camera Test Ahead of Australian Release7%
- The Hollywood ReporterNobody Would Read His Script, Then He Got the Call From Robert Pattinson7%
- Current odds7%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nobody Would Read His Script, Then He Got the Call From Robert Pattinson The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Watch Robert Pattinson Transform Into Chris Hansen in ‘Primetime’ Camera Test Ahead of Australian Release Variety Australia ·
- Robert Pattinson Recalls ‘Primetime’ Script Feeling Like a ‘Grenade’ as A24 Thriller Premieres in London: It Was ‘Original and Funny… and a Little Dangerous’ Variety ·
- Robert Pattinson on new film Primetime and how hunting predators became hit TV BBC Entertainment
- Robert Pattinson Approached Chris Hansen Portrayal In ‘Primetime’ As “A Fan”: “I Was Trying To Make Him Cool” Deadline
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Robert Pattinson 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Robert Pattinson 1% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Robert Pattinson 55% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Robert Pattinson
- Chris Hansen
- A24
- To Catch a Predator