Robert Pattinson
Why it moved: +3 points at 04:28 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Phoebe Bridgers Rings in Spooky Season With ‘On Video,’ From the ‘Primetime’ Soundtrack — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 04:12 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson is officially cast as James Bond before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Phoebe Bridgers for relevant casting news.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%