Robert Pattinson Emerges as a New Kind of Movie Star, Contrasted With Tom Cruise

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 30 September at 17:35 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 51%, with $298 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his new film as relevant to the resolution, but only Oscar nominations count.
• Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 2%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Robert Pattinson is named People magazine's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline; the resolution depends on whether he holds the title during that specific year.
• Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 11%, with $171 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for the decisive factor, but only this particular Oscar matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.