Robert Pattinson
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 21:56 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Robert Pattinson is named People magazine's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline; the resolution depends on whether he holds the title during that specific year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%