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Reform UK launches newspaper featuring Nigel Farage on front page

The party distributes its first edition of the Reformer, aiming to build a national publishing operation with qualified journalists.

1 publisher · 2 articles · first seen 29 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%6%3 Oct, 14:29 UTCnowThe Guardian: Nigel’s ‘chiselled cheekbones’ make the news – Reform’s the Reformer, digested by John Crace · 31 Oct, 07:00 UTCThe Guardian: Reform UK launches its own ‘newspaper’ with Farage on front page · 29 Oct, 14:59 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC6%
9 Oct, 09:34 UTC10%
3 Oct, 14:29 UTC12%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 29 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 29 October at 14:59 UTC. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 31 October at 07:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 6%, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nigel Farage steps down as Leader of Reform UK before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in that role through that date. Readers often mistake news reports of him being questioned for an actual departure from the leadership position.
  • Reform party — the market puts it at 30%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Aug 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the Reform party wins the most seats in the next UK general election. It resolves to No if any other party wins more seats. Readers often mistake this for a majority of votes rather than the number of parliamentary seats.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Nigel’s ‘chiselled cheekbones’ make the news – Reform’s the Reformer, digested by John Crace The Guardian ·
  2. Reform UK launches its own ‘newspaper’ with Farage on front page The Guardian ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 6% $100 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Reform party 30% +4 $16 24hends 31 Aug 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Reform UK
  • Nigel Farage
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