Rafa Marquez Takes Over as Mexico Head Coach in Push to Surpass USMNT
Former rival Rafa Marquez assumes the role of Mexico head coach, aiming to lead his national team past the United States men's national team.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 17:49 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 02:01 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 59% |
| 25 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 21% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 2 October at 14:58 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Mexico — the market puts it at 29%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Apr 2027. Mexico must win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League A tournament for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the official champion of that specific competition, not individual match results like the friendly against Colombia.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Mexico 29% −29
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Rafa Marquez
- USMNT
- Mexico