NewsMarkets

Markets

Mexico

Implied probability 59%+38
24-hour volume$28
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves15 Apr 2027

Why it moved: +38 points at 16:48 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Rafa Marquez begins new era as Mexico manager in friendly vs. Colombia — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Mexico
0%50%100%59%25 Sept, 16:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now59%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC59%
25 Sept, 16:09 UTC21%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

Mexico must win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League A tournament for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the official champion of that specific competition, not individual match results like the friendly against Colombia.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 59%
  • No 41%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market