Putin Calls Musk a Genius as Russia Contacts SpaceX Over Satellite Network Hot: $691k traded on its market in 24 hours

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Oct 2026. BBC Science published first, on 28 October at 19:15 UTC; The Hill followed 4h 02m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 28 October at 23:18 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), BBC Science.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Mars — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Aug 2099. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk travels to Mars before he dies or before August 1, 2099, whichever comes first. It resolves to No if that event does not happen within those limits. Readers often mistake the deadline for a fixed date rather than the earlier of his death or the specified year.
• Elon Musk — the market puts it at 75%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk ranks among the three wealthiest people globally on December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this wealth threshold on that specific date. Readers often mistake the release of a documentary or other news events for the resolution criteria, but only his net worth ranking on the deadline matters.
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $691k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.