ESPN Analysts Rank Top 2027 NFL Draft Prospects as Dante Moore Emerges as QB1

Jordan Reid and Mel Kiper Jr. release debut rankings for the 2027 NFL draft class, while a poll identifies Oregon's Dante Moore as the projected top quarterback.

4 publishers · 87 articles · first seen 12 Sept 2026 · updated 10d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Arch Manning

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 14 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	5%
19 Oct, 00:18 UTC	6%
18 Oct, 22:07 UTC	5%
18 Oct, 17:38 UTC	6%
18 Oct, 14:55 UTC	5%
18 Oct, 04:18 UTC	4%
17 Oct, 21:04 UTC	7%
17 Oct, 18:50 UTC	8%
17 Oct, 12:55 UTC	9%
17 Oct, 01:44 UTC	8%
17 Oct, 00:24 UTC	10%
16 Oct, 19:41 UTC	8%
16 Oct, 16:13 UTC	7%
16 Oct, 14:59 UTC	8%
16 Oct, 13:45 UTC	9%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC	7%
16 Oct, 02:55 UTC	8%
15 Oct, 23:49 UTC	9%
15 Oct, 21:06 UTC	7%
15 Oct, 18:20 UTC	8%
15 Oct, 10:13 UTC	9%
15 Oct, 00:35 UTC	10%
14 Oct, 23:41 UTC	9%
14 Oct, 04:27 UTC	10%
13 Oct, 20:20 UTC	7%
13 Oct, 19:58 UTC	11%
13 Oct, 18:57 UTC	10%
13 Oct, 18:29 UTC	11%
13 Oct, 17:14 UTC	10%
13 Oct, 15:50 UTC	9%
13 Oct, 15:24 UTC	11%
13 Oct, 14:35 UTC	13%
13 Oct, 14:13 UTC	12%
13 Oct, 05:15 UTC	10%
13 Oct, 04:48 UTC	13%
13 Oct, 03:20 UTC	10%
13 Oct, 02:27 UTC	11%
13 Oct, 00:54 UTC	10%
12 Oct, 23:40 UTC	9%
12 Oct, 21:11 UTC	13%
12 Oct, 17:12 UTC	15%
12 Oct, 16:00 UTC	12%
12 Oct, 15:07 UTC	15%
12 Oct, 13:55 UTC	12%
12 Oct, 10:53 UTC	13%
12 Oct, 04:48 UTC	16%
12 Oct, 02:46 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 02:02 UTC	12%
12 Oct, 00:41 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 22:34 UTC	9%
11 Oct, 21:19 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 17:57 UTC	11%
11 Oct, 16:15 UTC	9%
11 Oct, 15:40 UTC	11%
11 Oct, 13:51 UTC	10%
11 Oct, 12:05 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 04:22 UTC	12%
11 Oct, 03:32 UTC	10%
11 Oct, 02:54 UTC	11%
10 Oct, 23:49 UTC	8%
10 Oct, 23:04 UTC	9%
10 Oct, 22:45 UTC	2%
10 Oct, 22:07 UTC	11%
10 Oct, 21:06 UTC	13%
10 Oct, 20:34 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 19:50 UTC	13%
10 Oct, 16:41 UTC	10%
10 Oct, 16:15 UTC	11%
10 Oct, 04:34 UTC	13%
9 Oct, 18:28 UTC	12%
9 Oct, 16:44 UTC	14%
9 Oct, 14:45 UTC	14%
9 Oct, 13:28 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 11:29 UTC	14%
9 Oct, 02:21 UTC	15%
9 Oct, 01:09 UTC	16%
8 Oct, 23:03 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 21:56 UTC	16%
8 Oct, 10:14 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 06:46 UTC	15%
8 Oct, 03:22 UTC	14%
8 Oct, 01:29 UTC	15%
7 Oct, 19:27 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 14:55 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 13:19 UTC	13%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC	14%
6 Oct, 00:43 UTC	16%
5 Oct, 15:42 UTC	15%
5 Oct, 15:14 UTC	16%
5 Oct, 14:01 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 07:28 UTC	15%
5 Oct, 04:46 UTC	16%
5 Oct, 02:07 UTC	15%
5 Oct, 01:10 UTC	18%
5 Oct, 00:36 UTC	19%
5 Oct, 00:11 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 21:05 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 15:38 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 02:50 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 22:43 UTC	18%
3 Oct, 21:37 UTC	17%
3 Oct, 21:03 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 19:42 UTC	16%
3 Oct, 08:17 UTC	17%
3 Oct, 00:03 UTC	18%
2 Oct, 18:33 UTC	16%
2 Oct, 17:45 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 04:09 UTC	17%
2 Oct, 02:43 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 00:03 UTC	17%
1 Oct, 23:25 UTC	19%
1 Oct, 18:36 UTC	16%
1 Oct, 17:38 UTC	17%
1 Oct, 15:58 UTC	16%
1 Oct, 12:58 UTC	14%
1 Oct, 10:42 UTC	17%
1 Oct, 02:36 UTC	16%
30 Sept, 23:53 UTC	20%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC	19%
30 Sept, 17:51 UTC	17%
30 Sept, 16:18 UTC	19%
30 Sept, 13:57 UTC	18%
30 Sept, 11:18 UTC	17%
30 Sept, 08:43 UTC	19%
30 Sept, 01:52 UTC	15%
30 Sept, 00:10 UTC	17%
29 Sept, 19:18 UTC	18%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC	16%
29 Sept, 15:24 UTC	17%
29 Sept, 09:30 UTC	16%
29 Sept, 07:40 UTC	15%
29 Sept, 07:17 UTC	16%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC	14%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC	19%
28 Sept, 14:06 UTC	21%
28 Sept, 06:36 UTC	16%
28 Sept, 06:24 UTC	20%
28 Sept, 04:07 UTC	16%
28 Sept, 01:36 UTC	17%
28 Sept, 01:11 UTC	19%
27 Sept, 23:51 UTC	23%
27 Sept, 18:44 UTC	20%
27 Sept, 18:20 UTC	19%
27 Sept, 16:30 UTC	20%
27 Sept, 15:24 UTC	19%
27 Sept, 13:55 UTC	20%
27 Sept, 13:29 UTC	17%
27 Sept, 10:15 UTC	19%
27 Sept, 07:21 UTC	20%
27 Sept, 05:05 UTC	15%
27 Sept, 03:26 UTC	19%
27 Sept, 02:01 UTC	18%
27 Sept, 00:50 UTC	19%
26 Sept, 23:17 UTC	12%
26 Sept, 21:24 UTC	15%
26 Sept, 20:44 UTC	13%
26 Sept, 18:34 UTC	17%
26 Sept, 18:26 UTC	9%
26 Sept, 17:23 UTC	19%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC	19%
26 Sept, 15:31 UTC	18%
26 Sept, 08:02 UTC	17%
26 Sept, 01:46 UTC	17%
26 Sept, 00:08 UTC	17%
25 Sept, 22:16 UTC	21%
25 Sept, 20:32 UTC	22%
25 Sept, 20:25 UTC	20%
25 Sept, 19:10 UTC	18%
25 Sept, 18:22 UTC	21%
25 Sept, 17:13 UTC	21%
25 Sept, 05:43 UTC	30%
25 Sept, 03:37 UTC	27%
25 Sept, 02:20 UTC	32%
24 Sept, 23:59 UTC	27%
24 Sept, 23:21 UTC	25%
24 Sept, 21:46 UTC	29%
24 Sept, 16:18 UTC	30%
24 Sept, 15:11 UTC	27%
24 Sept, 09:22 UTC	28%
24 Sept, 05:34 UTC	27%
24 Sept, 01:51 UTC	29%
23 Sept, 22:20 UTC	27%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC	23%
22 Sept, 15:40 UTC	32%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 87 articles since 12 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 12 September at 15:26 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 1h 02m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 17 October at 20:30 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

2 prediction markets price this story:

Arch Manning — the market puts it at 5%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arch Manning is chosen as the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. It resolves to No if he is not selected first. Readers often mistake the linked story about Dante Moore for a prediction of Manning's draft position, but only Manning's actual selection matters.
Arch Manning — the market puts it at 24%, closing 22 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arch Manning is selected within the first five picks of the 2027 NFL Draft. It resolves to No if he falls outside that top-five range or does not enter the league. Readers often mistake the linked story about Dante Moore for relevant information, but only Arch Manning's draft position matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arch Manning at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

12 Sept, 15:26www.espn.com Poll: Ducks' Moore runaway QB1 in deep crop for 2027 NFL draft—
12 Sept, 16:28feeds.bleacherreport.com Arch Manning, Dante Moore, 2027 NFL Draft QB Class Ranked by NFL Execs, Scouts in Poll—
12 Sept, 16:30SI Feed 2027 NFL Mock Draft: Cardinals Land Arch Manning, Four Straight QBs Open Round 1—
14 Sept, 13:44CBS Sports Headlines 2027 NFL Draft: Dante Moore's early struggles and why history tells us to watch Drew Mestemaker—
16 Sept, 12:00www.espn.com Trajectory of 2027 NFL draft QB prospects flips fast—
16 Sept, 17:50feeds.bleacherreport.com NFL Scouts Eye Potential for Arch Manning, 2027 NFL Draft QB Class to Make History in Round 1—
17 Sept, 14:34feeds.bleacherreport.com Todd McShay's New 2027 NFL Mock Draft Drops with 4 QBs in 1st 5 Picks amid Manning, Moore Buzz—
17 Sept, 18:03SI Feed Latest Dante Moore NFL Draft Intel Raises Bigger Question for Oregon—
19 Sept, 10:00SI Feed NFL Draft QB Stock Is Shifting Fast Entering Week 3: Who's Hot, Who's Cold—
19 Sept, 18:32SI Feed Seattle Seahawks 2027 Mock Draft Lands Relentless Pass Rusher in Round 1—
Show 77 later sources
1. 19 Sept, 19:00SI Feed Chicago Bears Make Bewildering Selection in Todd McShay's 2027 NFL Mock Draft—
2. 20 Sept, 16:32SI Feed Bills 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Disruptive Defensive Tackle—
3. 21 Sept, 10:00SI Feed Five NFL Draft Stock Risers From Week 3: Trinidad Chambliss Shoots Up Board—
4. 21 Sept, 11:58CBS Sports Headlines 2027 NFL Draft: It's early, but Arch Manning hasn't looked like a first-rounder, let alone a No. 1 pick—
5. 23 Sept, 09:00SI Feed SI’s 2027 NFL Mock Draft 2.0 Includes Seven QBs in the First Round32%
6. 23 Sept, 16:07CBS Sports Headlines Tale of the Tape: Jayden Maiava, Dante Moore clash in battle of star QBs in NFL Draft when USC faces Oregon32%
7. 23 Sept, 22:19feeds.bleacherreport.com Mel Kiper Jr. Reveals His Top-3 QB's, WR's in 2027 NFL Draft Amid Arch Manning, Jeremiah Smith Buzz23%▼9 points since the previous source
8. 24 Sept, 18:17SI Feed Clemson CB Ashton Hampton Emerging as Top 2027 NFL Draft Prospect30%▲7 points since the previous source
9. 25 Sept, 00:50SI Feed New Dallas Cowboys 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Dominant Enforcer To Anchor D-Line27%▼3 points since the previous source
10. 25 Sept, 10:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Draft: The Best Edge Rusher in This Class and Revising Our QB1 Tiers30%▲3 points since the previous source
11. 25 Sept, 19:00SI Feed Seahawks 2027 NFL Mock Draft Adds More Strength to Already-Stacked D-Line21%▼9 points since the previous source
12. 26 Sept, 10:31SI Feed Dallas Cowboys 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Ball-Hawking Playmaker For Christian Parker17%▼4 points since the previous source
13. 26 Sept, 16:30SI Feed Bears Double-Down on Surprising Position in Latest 2027 NFL Mock Draft18%▲1 points since the previous source
14. 27 Sept, 13:30feeds.bleacherreport.com Arch Manning 'Looks More Like a Player Who Could' Skip 2027 NFL Draft, Return to Texas, Says Brugler17%▼1 points since the previous source
15. 28 Sept, 19:34CBS Sports Headlines 2027 NFL Draft Shock Meter: Could Julian Sayin and Dante Moore, other top QBs return?19%▲2 points since the previous source
16. 29 Sept, 10:49SI Feed New Cowboys 2027 Mock Draft Lands Massive 6-Foot-5 DB, College Football INT Leader16%▼3 points since the previous source
17. 30 Sept, 11:18SI Feed Every Buckeye Who Could Get Drafted in 202719%▲3 points since the previous source
18. 1 Oct, 12:13www.espn.com Reid ranks the top 50 prospects in the 2027 NFL draft class: Jeremiah Smith at No. 1?17%▼2 points since the previous source
19. 1 Oct, 13:12feeds.bleacherreport.com New 2027 NFL Draft Big Board Drops by ESPN Expert, Arch Manning, Jeremiah Smith, More Ranked14%▼3 points since the previous source
20. 2 Oct, 10:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Draft: Meet the Nation’s Best Contested-Catch Receiver17%▲3 points since the previous source
21. 2 Oct, 13:55SI Feed Arch Manning Tanking in No. 1 NFL Draft Prediction Market on Kalshi17%
22. 3 Oct, 10:00SI Feed 7 NFL Draft Prospects Who Could Dominate the Week 5 Conversation17%
23. 3 Oct, 14:00SI Feed Giants 2027 NFL Draft Watch: Four Prospects to Monitor This Weekend17%
24. 3 Oct, 14:06SI Feed Cowboys Pass on Arch Manning, Opt For George Pickens Replacement in NFL Mock Draft17%
25. 3 Oct, 15:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Draft Could Give Steelers Next Star Cornerback17%
26. 3 Oct, 20:00SI Feed Panthers Projected to Take Enormous Risk on Top-10 Draft Prospect in 202716%▼1 points since the previous source
27. 3 Oct, 20:30SI Feed Seahawks 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands 'Beast' Offensive Lineman16%
28. 5 Oct, 10:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Mock Draft: Trinidad Chambliss Crashes the QB1 Race15%▼1 points since the previous source
29. 5 Oct, 11:52CBS Sports Headlines Wilson's 2027 NFL mock draft: Arch Manning falls out of Round 1 where five QBs are taken15%
30. 5 Oct, 22:00SI Feed Cowboys 2027 Mock Draft Lands Elite Downfield WR to Replace George Pickens15%
31. 6 Oct, 02:30SI Feed New 2027 Mock Draft Sees Titans Double Down on Generational WR Talent16%▲1 points since the previous source
32. 6 Oct, 10:31SI Feed Bills 2027 NFL Mock Draft Ushers in New Era For Secondary16%
33. 7 Oct, 23:13SI Feed FCS Prospects Who Boosted Their 2027 NFL Draft Stock In Week 517%▲1 points since the previous source
34. 8 Oct, 10:00SI Feed SI’s Top 75 NFL Draft Prospects for 2027: Pass Rushers and QBs Dominate Our List15%▼2 points since the previous source
35. 8 Oct, 13:35feeds.bleacherreport.com Todd McShay Drops New 2027 NFL Draft Flash Mock and Landing Spots for Arch Manning, More17%▲2 points since the previous source
36. 9 Oct, 10:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Draft: USC Quarterback Jayden Maiava Reveals the Secret to His Accuracy15%▼2 points since the previous source
37. 9 Oct, 10:00SI Feed Grading Every Rookie WR Drafted in Rounds 1-2: Carnell Tate, Denzel Boston Dominate First Quarter15%
38. 9 Oct, 12:20www.espn.com Reid's debut NFL draft QB Hot Board: Ranking the top 15 passers, plus their strengths and weaknesses14%▼1 points since the previous source
39. 9 Oct, 13:20CBS Sports Headlines Arvell Reese, Sonny Styles to meet in Week 4: Did Giants make right choice between first-round linebackers?14%
40. 9 Oct, 14:49CBS Sports Headlines NFL scouts cool on 2027 QB draft class: Why Arch Manning and others could benefit from staying in college14%
41. 9 Oct, 16:28feeds.bleacherreport.com NFL Exec Questions 'Blind Faith' in Arch Manning amid Debate over 2027 Draft's QB114%
42. 9 Oct, 17:30SI Feed Why Passing on a QB Early in 2027 Draft Is Looking More and More Like the Right Call for Dolphins14%
43. 9 Oct, 18:00SI Feed New NFL Mock Draft Spells Doom For 2 Key Panthers Players14%
44. 9 Oct, 19:15SI Feed David Pollack Predicts Elite Big 12 QB Will Be the No. 1 Pick in 2027 NFL Draft12%▼2 points since the previous source
45. 9 Oct, 21:15SI Feed New Cowboys 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Urgent DL Help After Week 5 Loss12%
46. 10 Oct, 00:56feeds.bleacherreport.com Daniel Jeremiah Reveals His 'Most Intriguing' QB in 2027 NFL Draft Class Amid Mensah, Chambliss Buzz12%
47. 10 Oct, 13:00SI Feed Steelers Top 4 College QB Options at Quarter-Season Mark13%▲1 points since the previous source
48. 10 Oct, 14:00SI Feed Giants 2027 NFL Draft Prospects to Watch This Weekend13%
49. 10 Oct, 15:00SI Feed Three College Guards Steelers Should Target13%
50. 10 Oct, 16:28SI Feed New Bills' 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Intriguing High-Upside CB11%▼2 points since the previous source
51. 10 Oct, 17:23feeds.bleacherreport.com New NFL Rumors on Cam Ward's Hot Seat as Titans QB1, Potential 'Fire Sale' at Trade Deadline10%▼1 points since the previous source
52. 10 Oct, 22:54SI Feed 2027 NFL Mock Draft: Cardinals Land Future QB, Offense Dominates Top 102%▼8 points since the previous source
53. 11 Oct, 14:33feeds.bleacherreport.com 'Uber-Talented' Drew Mestemaker Eyed for 2027 NFL Draft by Insider Despite 2028 Buzz10%▲8 points since the previous source
54. 12 Oct, 13:39SI Feed Ideal Cowboys 2027 Mock Draft Lands Prototypical DaRon Bland Replacement13%▲3 points since the previous source
55. 13 Oct, 14:25SI Feed Updated 2027 NFL Draft Order Shows Cowboys' Major Consequence of Quinnen Williams Trade12%▼1 points since the previous source
56. 14 Oct, 10:00SI Feed Latest NFL Draft QB Big Board: Arch Manning Trending Down, Drew Mestemaker Trends Up10%▼2 points since the previous source
57. 14 Oct, 11:00feeds.bleacherreport.com B/R NFL Scouting Dept.'s 2027 NFL Mock Draft 1 Month Before Trade Deadline10%
58. 14 Oct, 11:00SI Feed 3 QB's Browns Could Target in 2027 NFL Draft10%
59. 14 Oct, 12:41SI Feed New Dallas Cowboys 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Massive 6-Foot-4 Shutdown Cornerback10%
60. 14 Oct, 13:12SI Feed Latest 2026 NFL Draft Class Ranking Leaves a Lot to Be Desired for Bengals10%
61. 14 Oct, 13:41feeds.bleacherreport.com Updated Top 5 RB Rankings for 2027 NFL Draft Class Revealed by ESPN's Field Yates in New Video10%
62. 14 Oct, 16:35CBS Sports Headlines Mike Renner's 2027 NFL Draft Big Board: Ranking the top 150 prospects at college football midway point10%
63. 14 Oct, 17:03SI Feed FCS Prospects Who Boosted Their 2027 NFL Draft Stock In Week 610%
64. 14 Oct, 17:55CBS Sports Headlines Could returning to Texas for 2027 finally make Arch Manning a top-five NFL Draft pick?10%
65. 15 Oct, 10:00SI Feed Drew Mestemaker is the Hottest Name Rising on NFL Draft Big Boards10%
66. 15 Oct, 12:00www.espn.com Kiper unveils his 2027 Big Board: Ranking the top 25 NFL draft prospects -- including seven QBs9%▼1 points since the previous source
67. 15 Oct, 12:55feeds.bleacherreport.com New Mel Kiper Jr. NFL Draft 2027 Big Board Drops for Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Top 25 Prospects9%
68. 15 Oct, 13:14SI Feed Bengals Could Reshape Backfield With Star SEC Running Back in 2027 NFL Draft9%
69. 15 Oct, 17:45SI Feed New Cowboys 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Impact CB to Replace DaRon Bland9%
70. 15 Oct, 20:30SI Feed New Seahawks 2027 NFL Mock Draft Lands Physical WR8%▼1 points since the previous source
71. 16 Oct, 09:00SI Feed 2027 NFL Draft: Scout’s Take on Arch Manning, Plus Will Echoles Critiques EA Sports Portrayal7%▼1 points since the previous source
72. 16 Oct, 12:35SI Feed 7 College Football Quarterbacks Who Should Stay in School Ahead of 2027 NFL Draft7%
73. 17 Oct, 10:00SI Feed Arch Manning, Drew Mestemaker Headline 8 2027 NFL Draft Prospects to Watch in Week 78%▲1 points since the previous source
74. 17 Oct, 14:00SI Feed Giants Draft Watch: Four College Prospects to Track in Week 79%▲1 points since the previous source
75. 17 Oct, 14:42SI Feed New Cowboys 2027 Mock Draft Lands Fast-Rising Defensive Lineman9%
76. 17 Oct, 18:05SI Feed New Bills 2027 Mock Draft Lands Vertical Playmaker at WR9%
77. 17 Oct, 20:30SI Feed New 2027 Seahawks Mock Draft Lands Versatile Plug-and-Play Offensive Lineman8%▼1 points since the previous source
NowCurrent odds5%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 81 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Kalshi Arch Manning 5% −1 $1k 24hends 22 May 2027
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Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Arch Manning 24% $0 24hends 22 May 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Dante Moore
Arch Manning
Drew Mestemaker
Jordan Reid
Mel Kiper Jr.

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