Arch Manning
Implied probability 8%+2
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$157k
Liquidity$157k
Resolves22 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 20:28 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 20:31 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 08:46 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 07:12 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Arch Manning is chosen as the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. It resolves to No if he is not selected first. Readers often mistake the linked story about Dante Moore for a prediction of Manning's draft position, but only Manning's actual selection matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%