Iran War Costs US $38bn, Depletes Munitions Stockpile: CBO Report
A Congressional Budget Office report estimates the conflict has cost $38 billion and depleted missile stockpiles, with monthly expenses reaching $3 billion.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Times of India, 3h 09m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 18 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Sept, 22:43 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Sept, 21:48 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Sept, 20:19 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 15:34 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 09:05 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 01:38 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? respond.
The story so far
14 publishers have covered this in 19 articles since 15 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 15 September at 07:00 UTC; CBS News followed 3h 09m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 16 September at 14:53 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India, All Content from Business Insider, Hacker News, Roll Call, Latest articles and 2 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027.
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — the market puts it at 15%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? — the market puts it at 13%, with $627 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of India$33.4 billion spent, weapons stockpiles hit: What Pentagon report on Iran war revealed2%
- CBS NewsPentagon inspector general says Iran war has caused weapons shortages2%
- All Content from Business InsiderThe US fired over $22 billion in munitions fighting Iran and created stockpile shortages in the process, watchdog finds2%
- Just In NewsPentagon tells Congress Iran war cost at least $42 billion2%
- News FeedIran war has left US with munitions ‘shortfall’, Pentagon watchdog says2%
- Times of India$33.4bn war cost, $22.3bn on munitions: What US lost in 6 months of Iran war2%
- Bloomberg.comIran War Cost $38B So Far, Bessent to Meet China Counterpart2%
- CBS News PoliticsIran War could cost $2 billion per month, Congressional Budget Office estimates2%
- Washington PostIran war cost $38 billion through July, report says3%
- The HillIran war likely to drive up inflation next year, CBO says3%
Show 9 later sources
- Hacker NewsIran war has cost on average $246M per day in its first five months3%
- Bloomberg.comClarity Act Fails to Advance, Study: Iran War Cost $38B So Far3%
- Roll CallIran war has cost $38 billion and counting, CBO says3%
- The Guardian USIran war cost US $38bn and significantly depleted missile stockpile, report finds3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran war increasing inflation, straining US munitions: congressional report3%
- Latest articlesIran war has cost U.S. $38 billion over five months, congressional study finds3%
- FortuneTrump may insist war in Iran is ‘small potatoes’—but it’s costing $3 billion a month, with $38 billion already spent, reports budget watchdog3%
- QuartzIran war has cost the Pentagon $38 billion and gutted its missile defenses, CBO warns3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran war has cost the US $38bn: How will it impact US economy, politics?3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Iran war has cost the US $38bn: How will it impact US economy, politics? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran war increasing inflation, straining US munitions: congressional report Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran war cost US $38bn and significantly depleted missile stockpile, report finds The Guardian US ·
- Clarity Act Fails to Advance, Study: Iran War Cost $38B So Far Bloomberg.com ·
- Iran war likely to drive up inflation next year, CBO says The Hill ·
- Iran war cost $38 billion through July, report says Washington Post ·
Show 13 more sources
- Iran War could cost $2 billion per month, Congressional Budget Office estimates CBS News Politics ·
- Iran War Cost $38B So Far, Bessent to Meet China Counterpart Bloomberg.com ·
- Iran war has left US with munitions ‘shortfall’, Pentagon watchdog says News Feed ·
- Pentagon tells Congress Iran war cost at least $42 billion Just In News ·
- Pentagon inspector general says Iran war has caused weapons shortages CBS News ·
- Iran war has cost the Pentagon $38 billion and gutted its missile defenses, CBO warns Quartz
- Trump may insist war in Iran is ‘small potatoes’—but it’s costing $3 billion a month, with $38 billion already spent, reports budget watchdog Fortune
- Iran war has cost U.S. $38 billion over five months, congressional study finds Latest articles
- Iran war has cost $38 billion and counting, CBO says Roll Call
- $33.4bn war cost, $22.3bn on munitions: What US lost in 6 months of Iran war Times of India
- The US fired over $22 billion in munitions fighting Iran and created stockpile shortages in the process, watchdog finds All Content from Business Insider
- $33.4 billion spent, weapons stockpiles hit: What Pentagon report on Iran war revealed Times of India
- Iran war has cost on average $246M per day in its first five months Hacker News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? 3%
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- Polymarket Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 15% +1
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- Polymarket Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? 13% −1
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In this story
- Iran
- United States
- Congressional Budget Office
- Pentagon