Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Implied probability 26%+7
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$448k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 12 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 26% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Sept, 21:06 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Sept, 20:14 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 18% |
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%
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