Pentagon locks in 10-year F-35 jet deal with Lockheed Martin

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 22 October at 13:20 UTC; The Hill followed 7h 39m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 22 October at 20:59 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Quartz.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Above 130 — the market puts it at 70%, with $200 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Lockheed Martin delivers more than 130 F-35 aircraft during fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if deliveries are 130 or fewer. Readers often mistake the announcement of a contract for actual deliveries, but only the final count in fiscal 2026 matters.
• Above 124 thousand — the market puts it at 55%, with $202 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Lockheed Martin reports a workforce exceeding 124,000 employees in its fiscal 2026 results. It resolves to No if that number is 124,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the current headcount for the final fiscal 2026 figure.
• Above 45 — resolved “No” on 22 Oct 2026.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.