Pedro Pascal Starring 'Behemoth!' to Close Newport Beach Film Festival Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
The film will conclude the 27th annual festival on October 22, with director Tony Gilroy in attendance.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Sept, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 1 October at 19:15 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 24h 12m later. The most recent article, from The A.V. Club, appeared on 2 October at 19:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The A.V. Club.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Pedro Pascal — the market puts it at 34%, with $639 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pedro Pascal receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the film's festival premiere or release date for the nomination deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Pedro Pascal 34% +13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Pedro Pascal
- Tony Gilroy
- Newport Beach Film Festival