Pedro Pascal
Implied probability 38%+17
24-hour volume$665
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$33k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Sept, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pedro Pascal receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the film's festival premiere or release date for the nomination deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%