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Oman evacuates injured crew from attacked tanker in Strait of Hormuz

India's Foreign Ministry confirms that 11 of the 12 injured crew members on the On Peace are Indian nationals.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 6 Oct 2026 · updated 8h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
0%50%100%29%5 Oct, 06:36 UTCnowAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Oman evacuates injured crew from attacked tanker in Strait of Hormuz · 7 Oct, 03:16 UTCTimes of India: MEA condemns attacks on vessels in Black Sea, Hormuz; urges end to hostilities · 6 Oct, 12:05 UTCTimes of India: 'Attacks must end': MEA says 11 Indian crew members injured in Hormuz vessel strike · 6 Oct, 10:45 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now29%
7 Oct, 09:31 UTC29%
7 Oct, 09:03 UTC28%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC29%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC28%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC30%
5 Oct, 11:30 UTC26%
5 Oct, 06:36 UTC25%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 6 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 6 October at 10:45 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 16h 31m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 7 October at 03:16 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? — the market puts it at 29%, with $279 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the United States officially announces the general end or suspension of its naval blockade on Iranian ships before any diplomatic agreement between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz is announced.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Times of India'Attacks must end': MEA says 11 Indian crew members injured in Hormuz vessel strike26%
  2. Times of IndiaMEA condemns attacks on vessels in Black Sea, Hormuz; urges end to hostilities26%
  3. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraOman evacuates injured crew from attacked tanker in Strait of Hormuz30%▲4 points since the previous source
  4. Current odds29%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Oman evacuates injured crew from attacked tanker in Strait of Hormuz Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  2. MEA condemns attacks on vessels in Black Sea, Hormuz; urges end to hostilities Times of India
  3. 'Attacks must end': MEA says 11 Indian crew members injured in Hormuz vessel strike Times of India

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? 29% $279 24hends 31 Dec 2026

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