Notre Dame Faces Bill Belichick's North Carolina in Week 5 College Football Matchup
The Fighting Irish prepare to play the Tar Heels, with analysts highlighting the defensive battle between Notre Dame and head coach Bill Belichick.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 28% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Notre Dame respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 1 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 1 October at 08:49 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 35h 39m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 2 October at 20:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Notre Dame — the market puts it at 30%, with $386 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake making the playoff for qualifying for the championship game.
- Notre Dame — the market puts it at 86%, with $363 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake a strong regular-season record or playoff projections for actual qualification.
- Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) — the market puts it at 47%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Oct 2026. Notre Dame wins if they beat North Carolina by 22 points or more. Otherwise, North Carolina wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not the scheduled start time.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Notre Dame at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedNotre Dame Set To Face One Of The Best Defensive Minds In Football History30%
- SI FeedWhy Notre Dame Should Be Wary of Bill Belichick's North Carolina Team29%▼1 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports HeadlinesNotre Dame vs. North Carolina prediction, odds, time: Week 5 college football picks by proven model30%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds30%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Notre Dame 30%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Notre Dame 86%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) 47% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Notre Dame
- North Carolina
- Bill Belichick