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Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5)

Implied probability 47%−5
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$109k
Resolves3 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −5 points at 20:38 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Notre Dame vs. North Carolina prediction, odds, time: Week 5 college football picks by proven model — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5)
0%50%100%47%1 Oct, 20:38 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now47%
2 Oct, 20:38 UTC47%
1 Oct, 20:38 UTC52%

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What counts

Notre Dame wins if they beat North Carolina by 22 points or more. Otherwise, North Carolina wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not the scheduled start time.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Notre Dame 47%
  • North Carolina 54%

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