New Mexico's Early Primary Date Boosts Native American Influence in 2028 Race
New Mexico’s shift to an early February 2028 primary date positions its significant Native American population to wield greater influence in the Democratic presidential nomination process.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 20:33 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 16:34 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Sept, 15:18 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 06:06 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 00:21 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Sept, 22:52 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Sept, 21:03 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Sept, 01:56 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 18% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Sept 2026. Axios published first, on 13 September at 21:45 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 19%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
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- Polymarket Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 19%
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In this story
- New Mexico
- Democratic