Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Implied probability 19%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$15.3M
Liquidity$357k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 07:37 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 19:41 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028. It resolves to No if she does not secure that specific nomination. Readers often mistake a Senate bid or any other political move for securing the presidential nomination.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%
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