Netflix Film VP Doug Belgrad Out In Layoffs Hot: Odds moved 27 points in 24 hours
The executive leaves the streaming giant after being hired by film chief Dan Lin in 2024.
First reported by Movies | Hollywood Reporter, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 97% |
| 12 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 75% |
| 11 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 73% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 74% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 71% |
| 10 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 74% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 69% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Netflix respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Movies | Hollywood Reporter published first, on 14 October at 14:26 UTC; Deadline followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 14 October at 14:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Movies | Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), Deadline.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Netflix — the market puts it at 99%, with $839 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Netflix announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome depends on an official action by Netflix, not rumors or third-party reports. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of the news story rather than the end of the specified period.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Netflix at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Netflix 99% +27
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Doug Belgrad
- Dan Lin
- Netflix