NewsMarkets

Markets

Netflix

Resolved: No 3d ago

The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, but No won. How often it's right

Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
How the odds moved · Netflix
0%50%100%1%5 Nov, 19:07 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
10 Nov, 00:06 UTC1%
9 Nov, 23:59 UTC9%
9 Nov, 23:11 UTC2%
9 Nov, 22:58 UTC55%
9 Nov, 22:17 UTC39%
9 Nov, 21:56 UTC33%
9 Nov, 20:41 UTC56%
9 Nov, 20:11 UTC53%
9 Nov, 19:30 UTC56%
9 Nov, 19:14 UTC54%
9 Nov, 18:11 UTC52%
9 Nov, 17:50 UTC53%
9 Nov, 17:23 UTC50%
9 Nov, 14:22 UTC50%
9 Nov, 13:05 UTC50%
9 Nov, 12:44 UTC43%
9 Nov, 11:42 UTC50%
9 Nov, 11:28 UTC52%
9 Nov, 09:56 UTC45%
9 Nov, 08:36 UTC36%
9 Nov, 07:56 UTC16%
9 Nov, 07:29 UTC15%
9 Nov, 06:49 UTC26%
9 Nov, 06:16 UTC56%
9 Nov, 05:16 UTC53%
9 Nov, 04:49 UTC55%
9 Nov, 03:48 UTC56%
9 Nov, 03:14 UTC54%
8 Nov, 19:23 UTC56%
8 Nov, 16:47 UTC57%
8 Nov, 16:07 UTC58%
8 Nov, 15:54 UTC56%
8 Nov, 14:19 UTC53%
8 Nov, 10:59 UTC58%
7 Nov, 07:21 UTC54%
7 Nov, 03:52 UTC85%
7 Nov, 03:01 UTC64%
7 Nov, 01:55 UTC63%
6 Nov, 22:49 UTC65%
6 Nov, 16:05 UTC64%
6 Nov, 15:43 UTC65%
6 Nov, 14:11 UTC53%
6 Nov, 13:05 UTC55%
6 Nov, 07:59 UTC59%
6 Nov, 04:34 UTC58%
6 Nov, 03:30 UTC46%
6 Nov, 02:14 UTC58%
5 Nov, 21:42 UTC57%
5 Nov, 21:26 UTC52%
5 Nov, 20:56 UTC51%
5 Nov, 19:07 UTC56%

What counts

The outcome is Yes if a Paramount representative mentions Netflix during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if this mention does not occur within that specific event. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report counts rather than only direct statements from Paramount representatives.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

View this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market