Above 17500
Implied probability 40%+1
24-hour volume$36
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 40% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 39% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Netflix reports more than 17,500 total full-time employees in 2026. It resolves to No if the count is 17,500 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year rather than the date Netflix files its official report.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%