Musk Hints TSMC May Join Terafab Chip Venture as Intel Shares Drop

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 3 Oct 2026. Latest from Tom's Hardware published first, on 3 October at 14:50 UTC; MarketWatch followed 44h 36m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 5 October at 12:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Latest from Tom's Hardware, MarketWatch, Quartz.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• TSMC — the market puts it at 15%, with $340 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in TSMC before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this deadline for a date when TSMC must announce plans or complete construction, but only actual equity acquisition by the federal government counts.
• Elon Musk — the market puts it at 87%, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet or speak by phone in October 2026. It resolves to No if this interaction does not occur during that month. Readers often mistake the linked news story about TSMC for the resolution criteria, but only a direct contact between Trump and Musk counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.