Meloni Backs Gas Price Cap Ahead of Italy Election
The Italian government proposes reimbursing gas-fired power plants to curb energy bills before next year's general election.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 11 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 47% |
| 10 Nov, 23:56 UTC | 50% |
| 9 Nov, 21:43 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 36% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 05:14 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 9 November at 18:20 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Giorgia Meloni — the market puts it at 47%, with $284 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Dec 2028. The market resolves to 'Yes' if Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election and meets all constitutional requirements before December 22, 2028. The outcome is 'No' if she does not assume the role under these conditions within the specified timeframe.
- Giorgia Meloni — the market puts it at 13%, closing 1 Jan 2045. The market resolves to Yes if Giorgia Meloni leaves her role as Prime Minister before any other current G7 leader. It resolves to No if she remains in office while another G7 leader departs first. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a policy proposal for an actual change in leadership.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Giorgia Meloni · Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? 47% +1
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- Kalshi Giorgia Meloni · Which G7 leader will leave office next? 13%
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In this story
- Giorgia Meloni
- Italy