Megadonors Pour Over $1.7 Billion Into 2026 Elections

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 22 September at 12:56 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — resolved “No” on 9 Oct 2026. For the "Yes" outcome, Elon Musk must be named as a winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. For the "No" outcome, he must not win, or another person/entity with higher precedence in the resolution rules must take the prize.
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.
• Will Elon tweet 640-679 times in September 2026? — resolved “No” on 24 Sept 2026. The market resolves Yes if Elon Musk posts between 640 and 679 times on X during September 2026. Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward this total; replies do not. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the month rather than the specific resolution date, or they assume deleted posts never count even if they remain visible long enough to be tracked.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.