Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$87k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Email me when the odds move
What counts
For the "Yes" outcome, Elon Musk must be named as a winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. For the "No" outcome, he must not win, or another person/entity with higher precedence in the resolution rules must take the prize.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →