Measles Cases Surge to Highest Levels in Decades Across US and Globally
The CDC reports over 5,000 US cases while WHO data highlights Bangladesh and Sudan as global hotspots.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 34% |
| 7 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 34% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 22% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 6 Nov 2026. Quartz published first, on 6 November at 21:11 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 4h 43m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 7 November at 01:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — the market puts it at 30%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if the CDC measles case counter records at least 7,500 confirmed human cases in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. It resolves to "No" if the total falls below that threshold within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistakenly count state-level reports or global figures instead of relying solely on the official CDC counter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- QuartzBangladesh to Sudan: the 10 countries with the most measles cases in WHO data22%
- QuartzMeasles cases by state in 2026: 10 states in the CDC's data, led by Pennsylvania22%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCDC reports more than 5,000 measles cases, highest number in 35 years22%
- Current odds30%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- CDC reports more than 5,000 measles cases, highest number in 35 years Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Measles cases by state in 2026: 10 states in the CDC's data, led by Pennsylvania Quartz
- Bangladesh to Sudan: the 10 countries with the most measles cases in WHO data Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? 30% +9
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In this story
- CDC
- WHO
- Pennsylvania
- Florida
- Bangladesh
- Sudan