Mamdani to Campaign With Hochul, Cementing Alliance
The democratic socialist mayor releases a video blasting the governor’s Republican foe as they plan joint campaigning efforts.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 80% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 81% |
| 17 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 82% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Oct, 07:34 UTC | 82% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 76% |
| 16 Oct, 20:41 UTC | 82% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 22 October at 13:01 UTC; Mother Jones followed 29h 08m later. The most recent article, from Mother Jones, appeared on 23 October at 18:08 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), Mother Jones.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 78%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Apr 2029. The outcome is Yes if Zohran Mamdani announces his intention to run for New York City mayor in 2029 before April 6, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the election year rather than the specific cutoff date in early 2029.
- Zohran Mamdani — the market puts it at 0%, with $13k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that winning a primary alone is sufficient; he must also formally accept the nomination.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. It resolves to No if he does not secure that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on the general election results rather than the party nomination process.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Yes 78% −2
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Zohran Mamdani 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0%
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Wrong market?
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In this story
- Mamdani
- Hochul