Zohran Mamdani
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$9.9M
Liquidity$9.9M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for President in 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that winning a primary alone is sufficient; he must also formally accept the nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%