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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$39.0M
Liquidity$2.6M
Resolves8 Nov 2028

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. It resolves to No if he does not secure that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on the general election results rather than the party nomination process.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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