Yes
Implied probability 84%+8
24-hour volume$14
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves6 Apr 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Zohran Mamdani announces his intention to run for New York City mayor in 2029 before April 6, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the election year rather than the specific cutoff date in early 2029.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%