NewsMarkets

Politics

Mamdani struggles to dismantle NYPD unit he pledged to end

The mayor faces significant challenges in fulfilling his campaign promise to abolish the controversial police division.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 29 Sept 2026 · updated 2d ago

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. Politico published first, on 29 September at 20:13 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Yes — the market puts it at 84%, with $34 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Apr 2029. The outcome is Yes if Zohran Mamdani announces his intention to run for New York City mayor in 2029 before April 6, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the election year rather than the specific cutoff date in early 2029.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Yes 84% $34 24hends 6 Apr 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%84%24 Sept, 15:08 UTCnowPolitico: Inside Mamdani’s fraught effort to rein in the NYPD unit he pledged to end · 29 Sept, 20:13 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now84%
30 Sept, 01:01 UTC84%
29 Sept, 21:17 UTC78%
29 Sept, 15:00 UTC84%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC83%
25 Sept, 16:11 UTC82%
25 Sept, 15:50 UTC79%
24 Sept, 15:08 UTC73%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Inside Mamdani’s fraught effort to rein in the NYPD unit he pledged to end Politico ·

In this story

  • Mamdani
  • NYPD