Mahomes Ties Brady for Fastest to 100 Career Wins
Patrick Mahomes earned his 100th victory in his 131st start, tying Tom Brady for the fewest games needed to reach the milestone.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 50% |
| 14 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 49% |
| 14 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 48% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 42% |
| 14 Oct, 10:05 UTC | 49% |
| 14 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 50% |
| 14 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 51% |
| 14 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 51% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 49% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 19 October at 03:19 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 57%, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Patrick Mahomes throws for at least 4,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only his cumulative season yardage matters.
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 25%, closing 2 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes throws for at least 4,500 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his philanthropy as relevant, but only his on-field statistical performance counts toward the resolution.
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 4%, closing 8 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes finishes the 2026-2027 NFL regular season with the most passing yards among all quarterbacks. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in this category. Readers often mistake a single game performance, like the linked win against the Dolphins, for the final season-long statistic.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 57% +4
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- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 25%
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- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 4%
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In this story
- Patrick Mahomes
- Tom Brady
- Chiefs