Patrick Mahomes
Why it moved: −8 points at 12:11 UTC, after www.espn.com: Patrick Mahomes perfect on play-action passes in win vs. Dolphins: 'It's opening up a lot' — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Patrick Mahomes throws for at least 4,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only his cumulative season yardage matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%