Magnitude 5.7 Earthquake Strikes Central Japan, Injuring Dozens
A magnitude 5.7 earthquake struck Shizuoka Prefecture in central Japan, injuring more than 20 people and prompting warnings of strong aftershocks.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 7 Nov, 14:27 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 08:03 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Nov, 07:11 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 32% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 29% |
| 21 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 34% |
| 18 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 33% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 30% |
| 16 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 34% |
| 15 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 31% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2030 respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 6 Nov 2026. Latest articles published first, on 6 November at 12:28 UTC; Times of India followed 35h 30m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 8 November at 13:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Latest articles, Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2030 — the market puts it at 34%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if a magnitude 8.0 or greater earthquake occurs in Japan or its territorial waters before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for resolving based on the date of the alert rather than the actual occurrence of the earthquake.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2030 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Latest articlesMagnitude 6.1 quake hits off Tokyo, but no tsunami alert issued32%
- Times of IndiaMagnitude 5.7 earthquake hits central Japan, dozens injured34%▲2 points since the previous source
- ABC NewsEarthquake with preliminary magnitude of 5.7 strikes Japan34%
- Latest articlesMagnitude 5.7 quake injures dozens in central Japan34%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEarthquake hits central Japan, injuring more than 20 people34%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCCTV captures streets shaking as 5.7-magnitude earthquake hits Japan34%
- Current odds34%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- CCTV captures streets shaking as 5.7-magnitude earthquake hits Japan Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Earthquake hits central Japan, injuring more than 20 people Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Earthquake with preliminary magnitude of 5.7 strikes Japan ABC News ·
- Magnitude 5.7 quake injures dozens in central Japan Latest articles
- Magnitude 5.7 earthquake hits central Japan, dozens injured Times of India
- Magnitude 6.1 quake hits off Tokyo, but no tsunami alert issued Latest articles
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2030 · 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? 34%
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In this story
- Japan
- Shizuoka Prefecture
- Kanto region
- Japan Meteorological Agency