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Kyler Murray's Future With Vikings Under Scrutiny Amid One-Year Deal

The quarterback plays under a one-year contract with a no-tag clause, making every game critical for both parties to assess their future relationship.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
0%50%100%54%23 Sept, 22:10 UTCnowwww.espn.com: For Kyler Murray's future with Vikings, the clock is already ticking · 2 Oct, 12:36 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now54%
30 Sept, 05:09 UTC54%
26 Sept, 19:07 UTC56%
24 Sept, 23:00 UTC52%
23 Sept, 22:10 UTC26%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 2 October at 12:36 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game — the market puts it at 54%, closing 18 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kyler Murray throws three or more passing touchdowns in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that mark in every game of that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked concussion update for a resolution trigger, but the outcome depends solely on his touchdown count in the specified season.
  • Kyler Murray — the market puts it at 25%, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Kyler Murray throws for at least 3,500 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes playoff games or extends beyond the regular season.
  • Kyler Murray — the market puts it at 54%, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Kyler Murray throws for at least 3,000 passing yards in the 2026–27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it ends after a single game rather than the full regular season.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. For Kyler Murray's future with Vikings, the clock is already ticking www.espn.com ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game 54% $0 24hends 18 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Kyler Murray 25% $0 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Kyler Murray 54% $0 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Kyler Murray
  • Vikings
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