Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Implied probability 56%+4
24-hour volume$8
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves18 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 26 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kyler Murray throws three or more passing touchdowns in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that mark in every game of that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked concussion update for a resolution trigger, but the outcome depends solely on his touchdown count in the specified season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%