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Kosovo Elects Justina Shiroka Pula as President to Avert Snap Vote Hot: Odds moved 31 points in 24 hours

Lawmakers chose economist Justina Shiroka Pula in a late-night vote, successfully preventing the need for immediate snap elections.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 7 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?
0%50%100%100%6 Oct, 01:01 UTCnowABC News: Kosovo lawmakers elect a new president in a late-night vote to avert snap election · 7 Oct, 10:32 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC100%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC99%
6 Oct, 01:01 UTC2%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 7 Oct 2026. ABC News published first, on 7 October at 10:32 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? — resolved “Yes” on 7 Oct 2026.
  • Bekim Sejdiu — the market puts it at 1%, with $925 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Bekim Sejdiu formally holds the position of President of Kosovo before January 1, 2027, and is the first person with this specific identity to do so after the market's issuance date. The outcome depends on his official status as president within that strict deadline.
  • Kosovo — the market puts it at 0%, closing 15 Jan 2031. The market resolves to Yes if Kosovo wins the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins that tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about a presidential election for the relevant event, but only the World Cup result matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Kosovo lawmakers elect a new president in a late-night vote to avert snap election ABC News ·

Markets on this story

  • Resolved Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? Yes 46m ago

    The market favoured No at 98% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Bekim Sejdiu 1% −31 $925 24hends 8 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Kosovo 0% $0 24hends 15 Jan 2031

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Kosovo
  • Justina Shiroka Pula
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