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Kane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker

Harry Kane misses a spot-kick for Bayern Munich while Fabio Silva scores late to secure a 2-2 draw against Borussia Dortmund.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 31 Oct 2026 · updated 28m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 36 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Harry Kane
0%50%100%17%25 Oct, 22:54 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: European football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker · 31 Oct, 20:06 UTCBBC Sport: Kane misses penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw against Bayern · 31 Oct, 23:05 UTCSkySports: Kane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker · 31 Oct, 19:30 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC17%
31 Oct, 03:31 UTC16%
31 Oct, 02:26 UTC15%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC19%
30 Oct, 19:34 UTC15%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC16%
29 Oct, 11:39 UTC17%
29 Oct, 03:28 UTC18%
29 Oct, 02:13 UTC15%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC14%
28 Oct, 14:06 UTC15%
28 Oct, 00:28 UTC16%
27 Oct, 22:03 UTC15%
27 Oct, 15:27 UTC16%
27 Oct, 14:21 UTC15%
27 Oct, 07:44 UTC16%
27 Oct, 00:52 UTC16%
27 Oct, 00:24 UTC16%
26 Oct, 23:38 UTC15%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC16%
26 Oct, 22:30 UTC16%
26 Oct, 22:22 UTC15%
26 Oct, 21:45 UTC16%
26 Oct, 19:44 UTC17%
26 Oct, 17:21 UTC16%
26 Oct, 16:51 UTC16%
26 Oct, 16:02 UTC15%
26 Oct, 06:00 UTC16%
25 Oct, 22:54 UTC15%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 31 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 31 October at 19:30 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 37 min later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 31 October at 23:05 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Harry Kane — the market puts it at 17%, with $224 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. Harry Kane must finish the 2026-27 Champions League season with more goals than any other player for the outcome to be Yes. The No outcome applies if he does not lead the tournament in scoring. Readers often mistake this for a general league title or domestic goal record, but only Champions League goals count.
  • Bayern Munich — the market puts it at 46%, with $263 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Jun 2027. Bayern Munich wins if they are named the champion of the 2026-27 DFB Pokal tournament. The outcome is determined solely by the official winner of that specific cup competition.
  • Bayern Munich — the market puts it at 88%, with $682 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Jun 2027. Bayern Munich must win the 2026-27 Bundesliga title for the outcome to be Yes. The team finishes as champion according to official league standings for the resolution. Readers often mistake this market for a single match result rather than the final season standing.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Harry Kane at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySportsKane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker17%
  2. The Guardian SportEuropean football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker17%
  3. BBC SportKane misses penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw against Bayern17%
  4. Current odds17%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. European football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Kane misses penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw against Bayern BBC Sport
  3. Kane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Harry Kane 17% −2 $224 24hends 13 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Bayern Munich 46% −4 $263 24hends 12 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Bayern Munich 88% +4 $682 24hends 6 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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